WiseStats db Preview – Celtics vs Trailblazers Tonight
Yesterday, we took a look at a situation in the NBA when the Orlando Magic took on the Indiana Pacers. Orlando entered the game as 5-point favorites to win, and the situation that we looked at using WiseStats db suggested that Orlando would cover the spread. Indeed, Orlando won the game 111-96, easily covering the 5-point spread. Another great example of how WiseStats db allows you to look at historical outcomes to predict future results!
Today, we’ll stick to the NBA and look at a situation that is in-play tonight using WiseStats db, this time for the game between the Boston Celtics and the Portland Trailblazers.
When Portland has played as the home team after 2 days off when their last game was against a non-division opponent and they scored 85 points or less, they are 16-2, an 88.9% win rate.
As always, let’s break the situation down to see why it is “in play”:
- Portland plays at home tonight against the Celtics at the Rose Garden
- They last played on Monday against Sacramento, meaning they’ve had 2 days off between then and tonight’s game
- The last game against Sacramento was a non-division game; Sacramento is in the Pacific division, whereas Portland is in the Northwest division
- In that game against Sacramento, the Trailblazers scored 81 points
Even though Portland has historically performed predictably well in this situation, they are still considered underdogs in tonight’s game. According to most sportsbooks, the Trailblazers are 4.5-point underdogs at home against the Celtics, with moneyline odds of +170. It is always difficult to justify betting on an underdog, but when WiseStats db suggests that they win 88.9% of the time in a situation that is in play, it’s worth a second look!